Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.058600 0.066407 0.074383 0.083109 0.092359 0.101844 0.112280
2025-09-21 0.048092 0.059799 0.072314 0.086551 0.102176 0.118689 0.137355
2025-09-28 0.039906 0.053877 0.069401 0.087621 0.108147 0.130317 0.155849
2025-10-05 0.037435 0.053698 0.072275 0.094546 0.120067 0.148012 0.180565
2025-10-12 0.031388 0.048544 0.068803 0.093692 0.122760 0.155064 0.193152
2025-10-19 0.027679 0.045768 0.067751 0.095306 0.127978 0.164707 0.208413
2025-10-26 0.023992 0.042602 0.065901 0.095695 0.131540 0.172275 0.221163
2025-11-02 0.021327 0.040482 0.065121 0.097181 0.136234 0.181016 0.235140
2025-11-09 0.018473 0.037797 0.063400 0.097328 0.139183 0.187617 0.246560
2025-11-16 0.014925 0.033719 0.059574 0.094608 0.138479 0.189781 0.252711
2025-11-23 0.011944 0.030101 0.056090 0.092102 0.137859 0.191902 0.258687
2025-11-30 0.010438 0.028606 0.055384 0.093075 0.141446 0.198962 0.270390
2025-12-07 0.009191 0.027485 0.055251 0.094934 0.146343 0.207857 0.284599
2025-12-14 0.008544 0.027340 0.056507 0.098657 0.153632 0.219705 0.302400
2025-12-21 0.007321 0.025979 0.055894 0.099809 0.157630 0.227552 0.315448
2025-12-28 0.007706 0.027703 0.059889 0.107228 0.169628 0.245140 0.340111
2026-01-04 0.006185 0.025482 0.057834 0.106315 0.170921 0.249650 0.349159
2026-01-11 0.005392 0.024597 0.057739 0.108042 0.175567 0.258232 0.363055
2026-01-18 0.004449 0.023198 0.056748 0.108458 0.178471 0.264644 0.374325
2026-01-25 0.003818 0.022384 0.056623 0.110047 0.182873 0.272884 0.387781
2026-02-01 0.003049 0.021033 0.055534 0.110205 0.185354 0.278713 0.398302
2026-02-08 0.002019 0.018570 0.052405 0.107295 0.183684 0.279293 0.402387
2026-02-15 0.001242 0.016368 0.049525 0.104612 0.182218 0.280055 0.406634